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Eastern Approaches

About the hubs

Methodology and verification standard

SCIH and FBIH are open source intelligence products written for Slovak state administration, principally the Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs and the Ministry of Defence, and for security analysts working on the two regions. Each hub publishes one situational briefing per monitored cycle, normally weekly.

The two hubs

SCIH

South Caucasus Intelligence Hub

Armenia · Azerbaijan · Georgia

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia; US–Russia–Iran triangle impact on the region

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FBIH

Finland-Baltic Intelligence Hub

Finland · Estonia · Latvia · Lithuania

Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania vis-à-vis Russia

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How a claim is graded

Every substantive statement in a briefing carries an inline marker showing how strongly it is held. The marker sits in the sentence it applies to, together with the sources behind it, so a reader never has to guess where a claim came from.

  • FACTTraceable to a primary source, or corroborated by two independent sources.
  • ANALYSISInterpretation by the analyst. Adversary sources are graded ANALYSIS on narrative and never FACT.
  • UNCONFIRMEDOperational estimate resting on a single secondary source.

Adversary sources, meaning state outlets and pro-Russian channels, never carry a FACT grading regardless of how widely they are picked up. Where such material is relevant it is reported as ANALYSIS on narrative, which records what is being pushed rather than treating it as established.

What TLP:CLEAR means

TLP:CLEAR

TLP:CLEAR is the most open level of the Traffic Light Protocol, the standard used to mark how far information may be shared. Material marked TLP:CLEAR carries no distribution restriction and may be published, quoted and forwarded freely, subject to normal copyright. Everything on this site is TLP:CLEAR by definition. Internal working material, source logs and calibration records are not part of this archive and are never published here.

How the archive is kept

Finished briefings are written in the analyst workspace and this site reads them from there directly, so what you see is the published text without a second editing step. The archive refreshes hourly. This version of the site is English only. Slovak versions of the briefings exist and a language switch is planned, together with the incident timelines.

Contact and attribution

Compiled and maintained by Mgr. Miroslav Molčan, Col. (ret.), and Bc. Matúš Molčan, student at Charles University. When citing a briefing, use its cycle code and monitored window, for example SCIH-R15, 25/08 to 01/09/2026.

Corrections, questions and requests for clarification go to admin@easternapproaches.eu. A factual error in a published cycle is worth reporting. Corrections are made in the source material and appear here at the next refresh.